Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.125127 0.148240 0.174092 0.205105 0.241248 0.281991 0.331351
2024-12-29 0.090435 0.120514 0.157938 0.207709 0.271931 0.351752 0.458202
2025-01-05 0.068695 0.100547 0.143659 0.205816 0.292587 0.408788 0.575423
2025-01-12 0.053556 0.084892 0.130431 0.200671 0.305334 0.454339 0.681029
2025-01-19 0.042605 0.072488 0.118728 0.194398 0.313722 0.492805 0.779400
2025-01-26 0.036647 0.066371 0.114973 0.198721 0.337426 0.555261 0.919294
2025-02-02 0.031669 0.060780 0.110865 0.201354 0.358078 0.614550 1.060212
2025-02-09 0.027359 0.055463 0.106184 0.201970 0.374909 0.668877 1.198366
2025-02-16 0.024149 0.051528 0.103197 0.204863 0.395589 0.731298 1.356138
2025-02-23 0.022071 0.049384 0.103091 0.212826 0.426024 0.813370 1.556057
2025-03-02 0.018773 0.044123 0.096135 0.206604 0.429050 0.846456 1.671262
2025-03-09 0.016639 0.040940 0.092800 0.206952 0.444491 0.903562 1.835941
2025-03-16 0.014435 0.037243 0.087937 0.203698 0.452824 0.948982 1.985172
2025-03-23 0.013171 0.035509 0.087055 0.208795 0.478965 1.031959 2.216423
2025-03-30 0.011624 0.032778 0.083492 0.207438 0.491179 1.088166 2.399720
2025-04-06 0.010069 0.029709 0.078634 0.202372 0.494530 1.126251 2.549378
2025-04-13 0.008672 0.026767 0.073589 0.196072 0.494187 1.156248 2.684681
2025-04-20 0.007991 0.025670 0.072973 0.200437 0.519024 1.243228 2.951071
2025-04-27 0.007306 0.024418 0.071752 0.203091 0.540068 1.323790 3.210890
2025-05-04 0.006613 0.022998 0.069854 0.203713 0.556179 1.394669 3.455534
2025-05-11 0.006082 0.021973 0.068875 0.206629 0.578367 1.481765 3.745494
2025-05-18 0.005775 0.021610 0.069723 0.214657 0.614620 1.605639 4.132836
2025-05-25 0.005049 0.019683 0.065681 0.208385 0.612544 1.636644 4.301513